Anticyclone and mild climate.
Anticyclone and drought.
African Anticyclone, stop.
This is the verdict, this is what awaits us in terms of weather and climate from now until next March.
Absolutely nothing, nothing at all, as has already happened over the last 3 Winters without us being able to do anything about it. But what can we do about it? Demanding to change the seasonal course is not possible, we do not have the means to do so.
But hope, well, we can hope to change its fate.
So why not hope that this year might go differently? That this year, there might be some room for Winter? Here, we are confident, despite what is said, the general atmospheric picture – the hemispheric one – is still interesting. It’s true, you read here and there on the web that in mid-December we will have a Polar Vortex at full speed, that we will have the usual all-encompassing Polar Vortex, thus capable of bringing the cold back to the North Pole, leaving us at the mercy of High Pressure. Are we sure it will go like this? No, absolutely not, it is not a written equation, atmospheric dynamics can hold surprises, for example, a tropospheric resilience capable of limiting any conditioning from above.
But wanting to avoid technicalities, yes, we can be optimistic. Maybe not for the Christmas period – although we somehow believe there might be surprises – but absolutely for the months of January and February.
Here, at this point, there will be those who say well, it’s easy to postpone to January and February, anyone can do that.
But no, remember November? It was November when we wrote that the first half of December could represent an extremely interesting period, probably also from the cold point of view.
It was November when we wrote that this year’s Winter could hold many surprises for us, including a cold event. If it gets warm, well, what a novelty would that be? It would simply be the seasonal normality of the new millennium, the seasonal normality of the last 3 years, 3 years during which we have not really seen Winter.
Like it or not, it is so, Winter has been absent and it could be so again this year.
Or maybe not… We will see.
Follow our feed
