As the minutes pass, the weather worsens more and more from north to south, indicating the development of a new depression within the Mediterranean, as widely predicted in the weather forecasts of recent days.
This is the “backtrack” of the cyclone that has severely hit the Balkans, Eastern Europe, and Austria in the past 72 hours, the same one responsible for the temperature drop that arrived in Italy last week.
The cyclone backtracks
This cyclone is backtracking, plunging once again into the “mare nostrum,” ready to generate a new rather significant wave of bad weather, which certainly will not go unnoticed.
The cool air coming from the Balkans heading towards the Mediterranean is carving out a deep depression in the Tyrrhenian Sea, which is already triggering showers and local strong thunderstorms in the central-south. In the coming hours, the weather will worsen significantly, especially in the central regions, exactly where we expect the most intense and persistent phenomena.
The central Adriatic regions will be the most affected by downpours in the next 72 hours, especially on Wednesday 18 and Thursday 19.
Considering that the cyclone will remain literally stuck in the Mediterranean, due to the presence of high pressures all around (both in North Africa and Northern Europe), it is clear that we are facing fairly stationary phenomena.
The most affected regions
When we are faced with stationary phenomena, the rainfall accumulations can rise dramatically, especially near the mountains, due to the stau effect.
Indeed, all calculation centers show potentially damaging forecasts for Romagna, Marche, and Abruzzo, which could receive total rainfall accumulations, by Thursday, exceeding 200-250 mm. These are excessive accumulations in such a short time, which would fall mainly in the Apennines. We expect strong thunderstorms and downpours also in Puglia, Lazio, Campania, Calabria, Basilicata, while elsewhere we will have weaker and sporadic phenomena.
For an improvement in weather conditions, we will have to wait for the weekend, when high pressure could reappear in Italy.
Follow our feed
