Is it right to talk about a cool down? No, rather it would be more correct to talk about a thermal contraction or a slight decrease in temperatures.
So let’s leave aside the themes concerning the upheaval of weather conditions because there will be no upheaval at all. A bit of oceanic air will arrive, also accompanied by an increase in ventilation from the western quadrants.
This will bring a thermal contraction, certainly, also of the relative humidity rates and that is why we will be able to breathe again.
But let’s be clear, we are not talking about a thermal drop of 10°C, no.
We are talking about a few degrees less, 2-3, maybe exaggerating 4-5 depending on the areas. Someone might object that this is an important decrease, but we do not forget – we do not – the current temperatures.
We are well above the seasonal averages and by a lot, so if we really want to use the right terms we can say that it will be an approach to normality. Then yes, maybe where there will be some thunderstorms – especially on the Alps and Prealps – the coolness will be felt but we are talking about mountain areas and surroundings, where the climate is different anyway. If we want to delude ourselves that something is changing, let’s do it, but we risk a bitter disappointment. If you happened to take a look at the various model projections, you will not have missed the persistent anticyclonic scenario.
A scenario that, according to the latest updates from international calculation centers, could persist until mid-August. Until mid-August because the models capable of going further in time reach that date, beyond that we do not know what could happen but we have an idea of what the weather trend could be in the second half of August.
A trend widely described in recent days, a trend that we confirm based on atmospheric signals that continue to support the thesis of change. But first we will have to face more heat, and more, more heatwave, more humidity, in short, more oppressive unbearable air.
We have to say it, not hide behind a finger. There is little to do.
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