Early December is very cold, the weather this year has some surprises in store.
But, regardless of whether it is pleasing or not, the important thing is that significant snowfall is expected for the mountains.
In this article, we will look at the latest trends.
The cold that was missing in recent Decembers
To better understand what to expect from the upcoming Winter, seasonal forecasts developed by the main physical-mathematical models have been analyzed, with particular attention to the data from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF).
The latest maps offer rather surprising indications. The winter season 2024-2025 could be significantly colder compared to the Winters of recent years. According to current projections, Winter will be slightly warmer compared to the thirty-year reference average, but with minimal variation.
This suggests a return to climatic conditions more similar to those observed in the early 2000s.
But what does this concretely mean? There could be room for a Winter that is not only cold but also potentially snowy, obviously at medium altitudes, while in the plains it will be difficult.
Shovelfuls of snow in the mountains!
The forecasts suggest that the conditions for a Winter rich in snowfall are more than concrete.
The cold, an essential element, should not be lacking, and the precipitation seems to follow a balanced trend.
According to the analyzed models, the season will be characterized by an alternation between dry phases and more humid moments, with a sufficient number of transiting disturbances to ensure regular snowfall. The mountainous areas will certainly benefit from abundant snowfall, but it is not excluded that snow could also reach the plains and coasts of the Italian Peninsula in some circumstances.
Abundant snow in the era of Global Warming
Despite the forecasts indicating a colder Winter compared to recent years, the role of climate change should not be forgotten.
The effects of global warming continue to influence atmospheric systems, modifying the frequency and intensity of extreme phenomena. But, despite everything, this Winter could be proof of how the atmosphere can occasionally give us pleasant surprises, after all, a season rich in snowfall in our mountains is fundamental as well as typical of our weather conditions.
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