Well, over time - indeed over the years – the concept of seasonal weather and climate normality has profoundly changed.
Not only for Winter, but also for the other seasons. For Spring, often able to anticipate Summer, for Summer itself, hotter every year, as well as for Autumn, increasingly extreme. Winter, on the other hand, is becoming milder.
Mild and dry, because often precipitation is scarce, absent for long periods.
Drought, alas, is becoming more and more pressing and when it rains, it rains so badly that hydrogeological disasters are the order of the day. We are approaching the winter season, another couple of weeks and we will say goodbye to meteorological Autumn.
We will officially enter the cold season and the question that many are asking is the following: will it be the usual anticyclonic Winter? Will it be possible to have a bit of weather and climate normality? So, in this sense, we must tell you that authoritative model projections are leaning towards an extremely interesting quarter. No longer warm as hypothesized weeks ago, but rather climatically ”normal”. This would already be a great achievement. Having “normal” temperatures would be a great result.
The other result to pursue with all our might is the pluviometric one. Yes, we must hope that the rains also fall normally, and the same goes for snow. We do not demand heavy snowfalls on coasts and plains, but rather that where it should snow, it snows decently.
So, in the mountains. If it then snows at low altitudes, perhaps repeatedly, well, we will be here, ready to comment on it together.
But in the meantime, we remain hopeful, optimistic that Winter could show us its dynamic side.
Firstly due to a Polar Vortex that is not in shape at all, and also due to some interesting oceanic anomalies around the planet. Let us remember that such anomalies are capable of driving profound climatic changes on a large scale, and let us also remember that this year we will most likely be dealing with La Nina.
All elements, or rather all patterns that should point in one direction, that of winter weather and climate normality. So, let’s try to be optimistic, all together. For Winter to be normal, it doesn’t take much, it would simply be enough for the Anticyclone to stay within its own boundaries.
Period.
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