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Where has the “Ottobrata” gone? The good and the bad of the weather, the unpredictability

William Brown por William Brown
Sep 30 2024 - 18:00
en Weather News
Tiempo de lectura: 2 mins de lectura
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Well, we have to be very clear: worse than expected.

Autumn seems to want to surprise us at all costs and after a month of September certainly consistent with what were the meteorological and climatic peculiarities of the past, here is our idea regarding October seems to want to come true.   Yes, exactly, it seems that October has no intention of complying with the usual subtropical diktat, rather it seems to want to follow in the footsteps of its predecessor. For the moment, we can forget about the scorching heat and focus our attention on the tedious deterioration of the weather next week.   Yes, exactly, instead of the heat there will be a deterioration of the meteorological picture and be careful, given the latest model updates, it could be a lasting crisis.

We will have the opportunity to talk about it in detail, however, we can anticipate that the placement of High and Low Pressures – aka baric configuration – will be extremely conducive to the permanence of Autumn.   But now allow us a consideration… A consideration that arises from the unpredictability of the weather and this is precisely the beauty – but also the ugliness – of our subject.

It wouldn’t have the undisputed charm that many, indeed many, recognize.

It is complicated, but at the same time capable of teaching us respect.   Respect for nature, respect for the atmosphere, respect for an extremely dynamic system, conditioned by a myriad of variables and as such capable of overturning even seemingly probable hypotheses. Yet, if you know it in depth, it is a subject capable of sending clear signals.   Predictive signals, those signals that we have mentioned more and more in recent months.

Atmospheric analyses, after all, serve precisely this purpose, to try to untangle the skein.

When we wrote that October, in our humble opinion, would follow in the footsteps of September, it was because there were signals indicating the way.   When we wrote that October, in our humble opinion, could reserve us even worse weather and climatic conditions than those of the past, it was because the atmospheric signals pointed in that direction. That said, right from the start we will have a muscular October, an October that could immediately leave its mark.   Temperatures are dropping and will drop even more over the course of next week.

Just as phenomena of a certain intensity will reappear, to which we will certainly have to pay attention.

But that is another matter and we will have the opportunity to talk about it.

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