POSSIBLE WEATHER EVOLUTION IN 15 DAYS The weather and climate conditions are changing, and according to the dictates of various mathematical models, it could be a radical shift.
It could be the seasonal shift; let’s not forget that we are in Autumn, and therefore a worsening of the weather is absolutely normal.
The deterioration will occur between Thursday and Friday, when the oceanic depression present over France will partially extend eastward, piloting unstable cool air towards the Center-North.
The development of a secondary low over the Ligurian Sea could expose us to locally violent and persistent phenomena, especially in the central and northern regions.
After that, a respite could follow, marked by a significant thermal spike between Saturday and Sunday.
But it could be a brief interlude, destined to close in the first half of next week when Autumn would really take the stage. SHORT-TERM WEATHER The coming hours will bring more atmospheric instability, so there will be further strong thunderstorms associated with downpours, hailstorms, and gusts of wind.
But the most significant deterioration, we repeat, will occur between Thursday and Friday due to a low-pressure vortex over the Ligurian Sea.
The often violent phenomena will hit much of the Center-North and also Sardinia.
The most exposed sectors will be those to the west.
There will also be locally intense instability in the South and Sicily.
Moreover, we expect a thermal contraction almost everywhere. AUTUMN ON THE RISE Contraction immediately swept away by yet another African anticyclonic flare, but this time it could be something absolutely temporary because it seems that in the very early stages of next week, the North Atlantic depression could extend decisively over us.
At that point, a real wave of bad weather would involve Italy.
Not only that, it seems that the Atlantic perturbation flow could slide south, piling up against the Alpine arc and piloting very cool – as well as unstable – air into the heart of the Mediterranean.
So, Autumn would really take the stage. IN CONCLUSION In short, mathematical models continue to suggest a severe weather change and a really swift autumn start. Remember that weather forecasts are more reliable up to 5 days, while their accuracy decreases with the increase of the forecast period.
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