Observing the mathematical models, confirmations are coming regarding the climatic weather trend that should involve us over the next 2 weeks.
First of all, we are about to record yet another deterioration, this time induced by a disturbance coming from the west but directly associated with the large cyclonic structure present between Scandinavia and the British Isles. The disturbed assault should mainly involve the Center-North, it will be a rapid disturbed passage but the higher resolution models suggest a lot of attention.
The phenomena, in fact, could once again be really intense, especially in some areas of the North and on the Tyrrhenian side. Precipitation that could take on a stormy character, with real downpours and accumulations that could locally exceed 100 mm in less than 24 hours.
We remind you that some areas of the country have already been widely tested by various disturbances in recent weeks, therefore we recommend maximum caution and above all constant consultation of the bulletins issued by the competent authorities. The southern regions will remain on the margins of the unstable circulation and the weather will be fairly good overall. Occasionally, there might be some rain showers, but nothing compared to what will happen elsewhere.
Moreover, the dichotomy will also be important from the point of view of temperatures, which will remain higher in the South. For a general improvement, we will have to wait for the weekend, when almost all international calculation centers tell us that the heat could return.
Heat triggered, of course, by the African Anticyclone but it could be a mobile promontory, typical of pre-frontal recalls. This is because, in the meantime, a new cyclonic assault could make its way over the Iberian Peninsula, with subsequent return to the east and therefore with a direct involvement of our country.
At that point, the “ottobrata” would last a few days, however, it is worth noting a strong thermal surge that would give us glimpses of summer. There is still no model agreement on the possible subsequent deterioration, which is why it will be necessary to constantly update the evolutionary framework also in view of a continental atmospheric dynamism – typical of Autumn – that shows no signs of decreasing.
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