POSSIBLE WEATHER EVOLUTION IN 15 DAYS The projections of authoritative mathematical models continue to suggest sudden changes in weather conditions.
The current cold drop, supported by the previous Arctic cold, will dissipate locally, favoring an improvement in the weather.
This improvement will take hold over the weekend, with predominant sunshine and rapidly rising temperatures.
The cold will soon seem like a distant memory.
Not the bad weather, in fact, in the first part of next week a new disturbance should pass, this time of clear Atlantic origin and capable of bringing locally significant rains.
But it will be a rather rapid passage, followed – apparently – by a more convincing consolidation of High Pressure.
According to the latest model interpolations, this phase could last for several days, welcoming October with the most classic “ottobrate”.
However, be careful, because some clues seem to point decisively towards a profound change within the first week of next month.
SHORT-TERM WEATHER The next few hours will be characterized by scattered thunderstorms, evidently the result of what remains of the Balkan cold drop.
The situation is expected to improve more decisively over the weekend, when a timid anticyclonic ridge will try to appear over our country.
A rise in temperatures is expected, returning to more appropriate values for the period.
Locally it will be a bit hot, but without particular exaggerations.
Also because, as mentioned, at the beginning of next week we will have another deterioration.
TOWARDS OCTOBER We reiterate the speed of the aforementioned deterioration, which will then give way to a much more convincing attempt at consolidation by the African Anticyclone.
However, some authoritative mathematical models tell us that it could be a pre-frontal recall, the result of a large cyclonic undulation from Northern Europe – due to a deep Arctic depression – towards the south.
This hypothesis would expose us, during the first week of October, to a new fully autumnal deterioration.
IN CONCLUSION Autumn is certainly showing itself to be dynamic as it hasn’t been for years, and Autumn in the coming weeks could hold quite a few surprises.
Perhaps between African anticyclonic surges and new insidious cold air intrusions.
We remind you that weather forecasts are more reliable up to 5 days, while their accuracy decreases with the increase of the forecast period.
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