POSSIBLE WEATHER EVOLUTION IN 15 DAYS In these hours, a profound change in weather and climatic conditions is occurring, caused by an unusual Arctic incursion that is forcefully invading the heart of the Mediterranean.
The effects, as predicted, are surprising, especially regarding temperatures. These, in fact, have further dropped, and the negative thermal anomalies that will be recorded could reach record levels.
This incursion will isolate a vast cold drop that will retrace its steps during the next week, fueling further instability and coolness.
The Mediterranean is therefore in a deep crisis situation, and the weather scenario could remain unstable and disturbed until the end of the month. SHORT-TERM WEATHER The worsening of weather conditions is significant, and with such marked thermal contrasts, it was difficult to expect anything different.
However, it will be a rather rapid deterioration, with a tendency to move towards the east-southeast, favoring a general improvement by the weekend. However, one should not have too many illusions because already at the beginning of next week, there will be a return of instability, caused by the return of the vast cold drop nestled between the Balkans and the central Mediterranean. FULL AUTUMN This baric configuration is fully autumnal, and in some ways almost wintery.
The crisis will be particularly deep, and authoritative mathematical models indicate further deteriorations even in the last decade of September. The passage of the cold drop over the central Mediterranean, then continuing towards Western Europe, will keep a wide baric gap open.
In the next two weeks, further disturbed contributions of oceanic origin should occur, taking advantage of this gap, maintaining a typically autumnal weather scenario. IN CONCLUSION We can say that Summer has been completely swept away by a surprising month of September.
Remember that weather forecasts are more reliable up to 5 days, while their accuracy decreases with the increase of the forecast period.
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